Stocks Closed At A Record, Ignoring A Bad Jobs Report
Published Friday, May 7, 2021 at: 6:31 PM EDT
With every other key economic fundamental indicator going strong, the stock market discounted the importance of this morning’s sorely disappointing jobs report, figuring it must be a statistical anomaly.
Like a driver ignoring the “check engine” light because they know it is caused by an electrical problem in the dashboard, stock market investors ignored the bad jobs report. The stock market surged seven-tenths of 1% on Friday and closed at a new record high, despite a much weaker than expected jobs report.
Stock market investors brushed aside fears that the sorely disappointing jobs report was a sign that the economy is not as strong as generally expected and the first hint of trouble ahead.
The economy was expected to net 1 million new jobs in April, but the number came in at 266,000.
The unemployment rate of 6.1% in April, was up from 6% in March, 6.2% in February, and 6.3% in January.
A seasonal ad adjustment that the government routinely makes to the jobs figures, combined with distortions due to the pandemic, indeed could have made the jobs numbers appear much weaker than they are.
“There is often month-to-month volatility in the jobs numbers,” said Cecilia Rouse, Chair of The Council of Economic Advisers, in a press release by the White House. “However, the same ‘amount’ of volatility is more striking when the volume of changes is larger, as it has been during the pandemic.”
The Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index closed this Friday at an all time high of 4,232.60. The index gained +0.74% from Thursday and is up +1.22% from last week. The index is up +61.67% from the March 23rd bear market low.
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This article was written by a professional financial journalist for Derand Capital Management Group and is not intended as legal or investment advice.
The Standard & Poor's 500 stock index is priced at about 21 times forward earnings estimates by Wall Street analysts -- a high P/E multiple by historic standards -- but not as high as the peak of the stock-price bubble in 2000, when the price-to-earnings ratio of the S&P 500 peaked at 25. Moreover, things really are different this time.
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Securities and advisory services offered through The Strategic Financial Alliance, Inc. (SFA), member FINRA and SIPC. mel r. hertz is a registered representative and an investment adviser representative of SFA, which is otherwise unaffiliated with Derand Capital Management Group.
We are registered to sell Securities in the following states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Hawaii, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, Nevada, Ohio, Oregon, Texas, Washington.